Análisis Milan vs Roma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.79
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
NAP
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
JUV
46%
21%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 1
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1961 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
PAD
0 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |