Análisis Modena vs Parma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
22.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 4
ROM
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |