Análisis Modena vs Ternana Calcio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
35.7%
Probabilidad gana
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
31.4%
Empate
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
32.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
NOV
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1976 |
TER
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
TER
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1976 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
63%
24%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 1976 |
PIA
3 - 2
TER
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
TER
37%
32%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |