Copa Paulista Eliminatorias Cuartos
Global 1-0
Análisis Monte Azul vs Comercial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VOC
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 ago. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PRI
22%
26%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 ago. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
BSP
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |