Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs Balsas Picarral Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2025 |
AMI
4 - 3
MON
35%
22%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2025 |
REA
4 - 2
MON
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
HCJ
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2025 |
MON
4 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Balsas Picarral Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2025 |
BPI
0 - 2
OLI
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2025 |
BPI
2 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 2025 |
REA
3 - 3
BPI
87%
8%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
BPI
0 - 1
SAN
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2024 |
HUE
3 - 2
BPI
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |