Análisis Montecarlo Sub16 vs Hernán Cortes Sub16
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.92
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+99%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
MON
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2025 |
MON
4 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 dic. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 2
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
EBR
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Hernán Cortes Sub16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2025 |
HCJ
1 - 3
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2025 |
HCJ
1 - 3
OLI
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 1
HCJ
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2024 |
HCJ
4 - 1
UNI
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 dic. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 0
HCJ
43%
23%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |