Análisis Montecarlo vs Jacetano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2024 |
ZUE
1 - 0
UDM
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
UDM
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2024 |
UDM
5 - 1
CFV
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
UDM
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
ADT
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Jacetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2024 |
CFJ
2 - 1
CFV
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 0
CFJ
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2024 |
CFJ
0 - 1
ADT
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2024 |
SAD
3 - 1
CFJ
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |