Análisis Montecarlo vs UD San José
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2009 |
TAR
3 - 1
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 3
CFB
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LAA
1 - 2
UDM
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 1
CAL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
UD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2009 |
UDS
1 - 2
LAA
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 0
UDS
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
UDS
2 - 1
GAR
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
CDE
1 - 1
UDS
64%
20%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
UDS
0 - 1
SAA
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |