Segunda Liga Jor. 15

Análisis Moreirense vs Penafiel

Moreirense Penafiel
68 ELO 66
5.4% Tilt -4.5%
241º Ranking ELO general 1648º
Ranking ELO país 32º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
56.4%
Moreirense
24.2%
Empate
19.4%
Penafiel

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Moreirense
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Win probability
Penafiel
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Moreirense
-14%
-19%
Penafiel

Progresión del ELO

Moreirense
Penafiel
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Moreirense
Moreirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 nov. 2013
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 2
Desportivo Aves
AVE
60%
23%
17%
69 65 4 0
24 nov. 2013
LEX
Leixões
1 - 1
Moreirense
MOR
39%
28%
33%
69 66 3 0
16 nov. 2013
BRA
Sporting Braga II
0 - 0
Moreirense
MOR
29%
28%
44%
69 56 13 0
06 nov. 2013
POR
Portimonense
1 - 1
Moreirense
MOR
42%
27%
31%
69 65 4 0
02 nov. 2013
MOR
Moreirense
4 - 0
Trofense
TRO
74%
17%
9%
69 54 15 0

Partidos

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 dic. 2013
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
54%
26%
20%
67 61 6 0
27 nov. 2013
ACV
Academico Viseu
1 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
30%
30%
41%
67 55 12 0
23 nov. 2013
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 1
Tondela
TON
50%
27%
23%
68 62 6 -1
16 nov. 2013
ACA
Académica
0 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
54%
25%
22%
67 71 4 +1
09 nov. 2013
RIB
Ribeirão
0 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
18%
22%
61%
67 51 16 0