Análisis Moron vs Ciudad de Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
UDM
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
UDM
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 0
UDM
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 2
UDM
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
UDM
8 - 1
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
CDL
4 - 3
LAV
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
CDL
28%
23%
50%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |