Análisis Moron vs Nervión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
UDM
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
UDM
5 - 0
MON
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
DHE
0 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
UDM
0 - 0
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 0
UDM
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2006 |
NER
1 - 1
PIL
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
NER
3 - 3
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
AGU
1 - 0
NER
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
NER
0 - 1
SEV
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |