Campeonato de Portugal Jor. 15

Análisis Moura vs Aljustrelense

Moura Aljustrelense
41 ELO 31
-0.1% Tilt -13.6%
12622º Ranking ELO general 23648º
286º Ranking ELO país 426º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
74%
Moura
15.6%
Empate
10.4%
Aljustrelense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74%
Probabilidad gana
Moura
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Probabilidad gana
Aljustrelense
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Moura
+16%
-1%
Aljustrelense

Progresión del ELO

Moura
Aljustrelense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Moura
Moura
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 dic. 2014
ATL
Atlético Reguengos
0 - 1
Moura
MOU
33%
27%
40%
42 34 8 0
14 dic. 2014
MOU
Moura
0 - 1
Operário
OPE
34%
25%
41%
43 48 5 -1
07 dic. 2014
FER
Ferreiras
0 - 0
Moura
MOU
39%
26%
35%
43 38 5 0
30 nov. 2014
MOU
Moura
1 - 2
Lusitano VRSA
LUS
59%
21%
20%
44 38 6 -1
16 nov. 2014
PRA
Praiense
2 - 0
Moura
MOU
40%
26%
34%
45 40 5 -1

Partidos

Aljustrelense
Aljustrelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 dic. 2014
ALJ
Aljustrelense
0 - 2
Operário
OPE
17%
23%
61%
30 49 19 0
14 dic. 2014
LUS
Lusitano VRSA
1 - 1
Aljustrelense
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
30 37 7 0
07 dic. 2014
ALJ
Aljustrelense
1 - 1
Quarteirense
QUA
38%
25%
38%
30 34 4 0
30 nov. 2014
ANG
Angrense
1 - 0
Aljustrelense
ALJ
67%
18%
15%
30 39 9 0
16 nov. 2014
ALJ
Aljustrelense
3 - 1
Atlético Reguengos
ATL
30%
25%
46%
27 36 9 +3