Copa Ecuador . Semifinal
Global 3-3
Análisis Mushuc Runa vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 1
MUS
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 2
LIG
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 ago. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2022 |
OLM
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2022 |
NAC
5 - 0
IMB
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
OCT
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |