Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2011 |
RJC
4 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 3
FEY
29%
25%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |