Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ago. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 3
2DE
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 jul. 2006 |
12O
1 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ago. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 3
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |