Análisis Nacional vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
12O
2 - 4
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2005 |
SBO
0 - 0
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 2
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 2
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |