Análisis Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2015 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEN
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2015 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2015 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
SPB
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
PAÇ
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |