Análisis Nacional vs Sporting CP
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
19.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.96
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2016 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
FCP
23%
24%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 3
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 1
TON
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 2
BVB
26%
23%
52%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 1
SCP
12%
19%
68%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
58%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 0
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |