Análisis Narón BP vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-37%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2004 |
LAL
0 - 2
NAR
68%
19%
12%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
NAR
1 - 1
SCB
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
NAR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
NAR
1 - 2
COX
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 0
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
BER
0 - 1
LUG
17%
26%
57%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
LUG
1 - 1
XOV
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
LUG
17%
26%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
LUG
2 - 2
OGR
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |