Pernambucano 1 Fase de Grupos Jor. 2

Análisis Náutico vs Jaguar

Náutico Jaguar
72 ELO 26
1.3% Tilt 2.1%
1290º Ranking ELO general 9232º
54º Ranking ELO país 398º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
80.7%
Náutico
13%
Empate
6.4%
Jaguar

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
Náutico
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
Jaguar
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Náutico
+1%
+55%
Jaguar

Progresión del ELO

Náutico
Jaguar
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 ene. 2025
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Petrolina
PET
85%
12%
3%
72 44 28 0
29 dic. 2024
NAU
Náutico
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
80%
14%
6%
72 52 20 0
19 dic. 2024
NAU
Náutico
1 - 0
América RN
ARN
62%
21%
17%
72 66 6 0
17 dic. 2024
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Jaguar
ADJ
82%
12%
6%
72 25 47 0
24 ago. 2024
LON
Londrina
3 - 2
Náutico
NAU
51%
25%
24%
72 74 2 0

Partidos

Jaguar
Jaguar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 ene. 2025
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
Jaguar
ADJ
55%
22%
23%
25 44 19 0
17 dic. 2024
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Jaguar
ADJ
82%
12%
6%
25 72 47 0
22 sep. 2024
ADJ
Jaguar
0 - 1
Decisão
SED
34%
22%
43%
26 33 7 -1
14 sep. 2024
ACA
Vitória das Tabocas
2 - 1
Jaguar
ADJ
43%
22%
35%
26 31 5 0
08 sep. 2024
ADJ
Jaguar
3 - 0
Vitória das Tabocas
ACA
27%
21%
52%
24 33 9 +2