Análisis Náutico vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
CRB
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
CRI
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 may. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 may. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRB
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |