Análisis Necaxa vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 0
TIG
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2022 |
NEC
4 - 2
AUR
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
LEV
16%
20%
64%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |