Premier League . Jor. 29

Análisis Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Newcastle Aston Villa
77 ELO 80
18.2% Tilt 17.9%
26º Ranking ELO general 31º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.5%
Newcastle
20.2%
Empate
22.3%
Aston Villa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.5%
Probabilidad gana
Newcastle
2.2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.3%
Probabilidad gana
Aston Villa
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Newcastle
+2%
-6%
Aston Villa

Progresión del ELO

Newcastle
Aston Villa
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 feb. 1961
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
46%
22%
33%
77 75 2 0
11 feb. 1961
LEI
Leicester
5 - 3
Newcastle
NEW
58%
19%
23%
77 80 3 0
04 feb. 1961
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
55%
20%
25%
77 80 3 0
21 ene. 1961
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 3
Newcastle
NEW
52%
20%
28%
77 76 1 0
14 ene. 1961
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
67%
17%
16%
78 75 3 -1

Partidos

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 feb. 1961
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
80%
11%
8%
80 54 26 0
11 feb. 1961
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
37%
23%
40%
80 88 8 0
06 feb. 1961
ASV
Aston Villa
5 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
76%
14%
10%
80 64 16 0
04 feb. 1961
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
67%
18%
15%
80 84 4 0
21 ene. 1961
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
57%
21%
23%
80 77 3 0
X