Análisis Newcastle vs Derby County
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 dic. 2009 |
SHW
2 - 2
NEW
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
NEW
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2009 |
COV
0 - 2
NEW
22%
27%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
WAT
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 dic. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
BPO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
DON
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
61%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2009 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
DER
2 - 2
WBA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |