Análisis Noroeste vs Portuguesa Santista
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
RIO
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 1
ATI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 mar. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 feb. 2017 |
TAB
3 - 0
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |