Análisis Ñublense vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 1
COQ
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
ANT
3 - 1
NUB
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
NUB
1 - 1
CSL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
OHI
0 - 1
NUB
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
UCH
1 - 1
NUB
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
LOT
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |