Análisis Nueva Concepción vs Mixco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
ESC
9 - 1
NUE
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 0
NUE
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
SPD
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |