Análisis Ol. Valverdeña vs Atlético Cruceño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
87.3%
Probabilidad gana
3.13
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+1840%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ol. Valverdeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2024 |
OVA
5 - 1
MOG
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 1
OVA
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 2
PUM
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 5
OVA
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 2
ICR
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 3
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2024 |
MOG
3 - 1
CRU
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 4
JUA
20%
20%
59%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
CRU
71%
17%
13%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 3
SRL
23%
22%
55%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |