Análisis Orellana vs Trujillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
ORE
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 6
CAC
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ORE
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
ORE
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
BRO
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 3
TRU
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 1
GIM
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
TRU
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |