2. Bundesliga Jor. 15

Análisis Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue

Paderborn Erzgebirge Aue
74 ELO 72
25% Tilt 10.8%
735º Ranking ELO general 2642º
24º Ranking ELO país 57º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55.1%
Paderborn
22.3%
Empate
22.6%
Erzgebirge Aue

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Paderborn
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Erzgebirge Aue
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paderborn
+3%
-29%
Erzgebirge Aue

Progresión del ELO

Paderborn
Erzgebirge Aue
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 ene. 2021
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
48%
25%
27%
74 78 4 0
22 dic. 2020
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
60%
22%
18%
73 81 8 +1
19 dic. 2020
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
41%
25%
34%
72 71 1 +1
16 dic. 2020
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 2
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
64%
20%
16%
72 66 6 0
11 dic. 2020
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
48%
25%
28%
73 74 1 -1

Partidos

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 ene. 2021
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
54%
24%
22%
72 65 7 0
20 dic. 2020
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
72 72 0 0
17 dic. 2020
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
4 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
43%
27%
31%
71 71 0 +1
13 dic. 2020
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
30%
27%
43%
71 66 5 0
06 dic. 2020
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
41%
26%
33%
72 70 2 -1