Copa Libertadores Semifinal
Global 6-3
Análisis Palmeiras vs Santa Fe
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
PAL
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
IND
62%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1961 |
IND
0 - 2
PAL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
PAL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 0
JWI
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 1961 |
JWI
3 - 2
SFE
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1961 |
BSC
2 - 2
SFE
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 0
BSC
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |