Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-35%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2022 |
LEX
0 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAR
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 0
PEN
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
CHA
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACV
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |