Análisis Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1981 |
COB
4 - 2
PEÑ
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1981 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
COB
80%
13%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1980 |
DEF
1 - 1
OPE
71%
16%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1980 |
DEF
1 - 1
STR
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |