Conmebol Sudamericana . Octavos
Global 2-2
Análisis Peñarol vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CSC
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 jun. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CSY
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 1
PEÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 jul. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 jun. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
NAC
18%
26%
56%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |