Análisis Peñarol vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 3
PEÑ
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2021 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
PEÑ
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
PEÑ
15%
25%
60%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2021 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
MWA
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
REN
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
BOS
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |