Copa de Gales 1/64. Cuartos

Análisis Penybont vs Holywell

Penybont Holywell
64 ELO 50
11.4% Tilt -0.8%
1420º Ranking ELO general 2496º
Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
75.2%
Penybont
15.3%
Empate
9.4%
Holywell

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.2%
Probabilidad gana
Penybont
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Probabilidad gana
Holywell
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Progresión del ELO

Penybont
Holywell
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Penybont
Penybont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ene. 2023
PEN
Penybont
3 - 0
Newtown
NEW
39%
25%
37%
63 64 1 0
14 ene. 2023
GRE
Gresford Athletic
0 - 2
Penybont
PEN
7%
15%
78%
63 37 26 0
10 ene. 2023
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
0 - 3
Penybont
PEN
25%
25%
50%
63 51 12 0
07 ene. 2023
PEN
Penybont
5 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
52%
24%
24%
62 58 4 +1
03 ene. 2023
PEN
Penybont
2 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
76%
16%
8%
61 42 19 +1

Partidos

Holywell
Holywell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ene. 2023
LLA
Llanidloes Town FC
0 - 3
Holywell
HOL
9%
17%
75%
51 28 23 0
21 ene. 2023
HOL
Holywell
2 - 0
Gresford Athletic
GRE
79%
14%
7%
51 37 14 0
14 ene. 2023
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 2
Holywell
HOL
25%
22%
53%
50 43 7 +1
02 ene. 2023
HOL
Holywell
4 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
82%
12%
5%
49 31 18 +1
07 dic. 2022
HOL
Holywell
2 - 0
Ruthin Town
RTW
79%
14%
7%
49 37 12 0
X