Análisis Poblense vs Mercadal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+48%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2009 |
PBL
1 - 1
MLL
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
PBL
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 1
PBL
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
PBL
2 - 2
IBI
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
MNU
2 - 0
PBL
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 2009 |
MER
4 - 0
ART
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2009 |
MLL
6 - 0
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
ALA
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
MER
1 - 3
MHN
26%
26%
48%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |