Análisis Premià vs Montcada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
CEP
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CEP
0 - 0
CFM
35%
25%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
CEP
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
CEP
2 - 2
GRA
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
CEF
2 - 1
CEP
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CFR
2 - 2
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 7
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
CFL
2 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
JUN
3 - 3
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |