Análisis Progreso vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
27.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2021 |
CSY
0 - 0
PRO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 3
PRO
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRO
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 4
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |