Análisis Rayo Vallecano vs Valdepeñas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.1
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
6.7%
Empate
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-44%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1949 |
TOM
2 - 0
RAY
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
RAY
3 - 1
CNC
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
JAV
1 - 0
RAY
26%
23%
50%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1949 |
RAY
3 - 1
VIL
89%
7%
4%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1949 |
MAN
4 - 0
RAY
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | -1 |
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1949 |
CDB
0 - 1
ALI
50%
21%
30%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
TOM
3 - 1
CDB
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
CDB
4 - 6
IMP
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 sep. 1949 |
CNC
4 - 1
CDB
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1949 |
CDB
4 - 3
ELD
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |