Análisis Real Jaén vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1977 |
VAD
3 - 1
RJA
75%
18%
8%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 0
SPO
32%
31%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1976 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1977 |
ALA
0 - 0
GRA
41%
30%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1977 |
ALA
1 - 1
CDT
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
REC
0 - 1
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1976 |
ALA
3 - 0
PUE
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1976 |
RAY
3 - 1
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |