Análisis Real Jaén vs At. Malagueño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.06
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1951 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJA
51%
21%
28%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1951 |
RJA
2 - 0
REC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 mar. 1951 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
59%
19%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 1951 |
RJA
3 - 1
ILI
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 1951 |
UDE
1 - 4
RJA
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1951 |
MAL
4 - 2
MAG
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1951 |
XER
3 - 1
MAL
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1951 |
CAA
1 - 0
MAL
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 1951 |
MAL
0 - 2
UTR
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 1951 |
REC
4 - 0
MAL
85%
9%
6%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |