Análisis Real Jaén vs CD Castellón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1978 |
RCF
4 - 0
RJA
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
RJA
2 - 2
BET
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
TER
0 - 2
RJA
61%
25%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1978 |
RJA
4 - 2
OSA
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
UBE
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1978 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAL
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1978 |
GDE
2 - 2
CAS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1978 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALG
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1978 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
CAS
1 - 1
ELC
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |