Análisis Real Jaén vs Valdepeñas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1973 |
ORI
0 - 0
RJA
60%
26%
15%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 0
CPC
56%
26%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 1973 |
REC
1 - 0
RJA
70%
21%
9%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1973 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1973 |
CDB
2 - 1
AGD
59%
25%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1973 |
CDB
1 - 3
XER
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 dic. 1973 |
ORI
3 - 0
CDB
52%
28%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 nov. 1973 |
CDB
2 - 1
CPC
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 1973 |
REC
5 - 0
CDB
65%
24%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |