Análisis Real Jaén vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.8%
Empate
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1977 |
RJA
3 - 1
UBE
89%
9%
3%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1977 |
REC
2 - 0
RJA
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 1977 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 2
RJA
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 may. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 1
OSA
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1977 |
CAS
1 - 2
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1977 |
ESP
3 - 0
CEL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CEL
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |