Análisis Real Jaén vs CF Extremadura
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
CPC
3 - 2
RJA
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
RJA
5 - 1
PPJ
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
RJA
2 - 1
SEV
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 3
RJA
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
EXT
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
EXT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
LAN
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |