Análisis Real Jaén vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1969 |
NOV
1 - 0
RJA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1969 |
RJA
4 - 0
ILI
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1969 |
CAL
1 - 2
RJA
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 oct. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
RJA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1969 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1969 |
ADR
0 - 2
HER
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1969 |
HER
1 - 1
CDB
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1969 |
IBI
0 - 1
HER
20%
24%
57%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1969 |
ELD
2 - 0
HER
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |