Análisis Real Jaén vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
28.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.4%
Empate
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
51%
28%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 2
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 0
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ALG
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 4
LOR
26%
30%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |