Análisis Real Jaén vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.5%
Empate
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
ROQ
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
ECI
0 - 1
RJA
32%
30%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
41%
30%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
POL
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
SRQ
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MEL
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |