Análisis Real Jaén vs Moralo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 2
RJA
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2002 |
RJA
3 - 1
MOT
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
MER
1 - 0
RJA
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ene. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 3
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
ALG
1 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
15%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 2
BET
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
CAD
5 - 1
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 3
JER
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |